Jeff Wilson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jeff Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Jeff Wilson

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Carries

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Jeff Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jeffery Wilson to accumulate 19.8 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Jeffery Wilson to be a more important option in his offense's run game this week (65.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (47.4% in games he has played).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in run blocking.
The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles project as the 5th-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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