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J.D. McKissic

J.D. McKissic Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders

J.D. McKissic Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most yards in the NFL (179 per game) versus the Chicago Bears defense this year.

The Chicago Bears defensive ends project as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Washington Commanders have risked going for it on 4th down 24.1% of the time since the start of last season (4th-most in the league), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 9th-least run-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.3% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in run blocking.

J.D. McKissic has been among the worst running backs in football at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 2.02 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 19th percentile.

More J.D. McKissic Player Props

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