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J.D. McKissic

J.D. McKissic Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

J.D. McKissic Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -142.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.30 seconds per snap.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 2nd-most yards in the league (144 per game) vs. the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season.

The Detroit Lions defensive ends project as the worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

The Washington Commanders have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Washington Commanders have elected to go for it on 4th down 24.1% of the time since the start of last season (4th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Commanders have been the 6th-least run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 29.1% run rate.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

J.D. McKissic has been among the bottom running backs in the NFL at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 1.98 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 15th percentile.

More J.D. McKissic Player Props

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