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J.D. McKissic

J.D. McKissic Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
J.D. McKissic Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+438/-1003).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • The Commanders have been the 6th-most run-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 48.1% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.90 seconds per play.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-most TDs in the league (1.29 per game) versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive ends profile as the 2nd-worst DE corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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