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J.D. McKissic

J.D. McKissic Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers

J.D. McKissic Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+136/-174).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders will be rolling with backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Commanders are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

The Washington Commanders have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects J.D. McKissic to accumulate 4.8 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs.

J.D. McKissic has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 15.1% this year, which places him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 27.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the NFL.

J.D. McKissic's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 84.3% to 74.5%.

The Washington Commanders have faced a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

More J.D. McKissic Player Props

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