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J.D. McKissic

J.D. McKissic Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
J.D. McKissic Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.7% pass rate.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects J.D. McKissic to earn 5.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
  • J.D. McKissic has posted a monstrous 9.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • J.D. McKissic's 24.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 96th percentile for running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
  • The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • J.D. McKissic's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this season, notching a mere 5.21 yards-per-target compared to a 7.05 rate last season.
  • J.D. McKissic's talent in generating extra yardage have diminished this season, accumulating a mere 5.29 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 9.53 rate last season.

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