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J.D. McKissic

J.D. McKissic Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
J.D. McKissic Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 67.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects J.D. McKissic to accumulate 5.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
  • J.D. McKissic has been an integral part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 14.1% this year, which places him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
  • J.D. McKissic has put up a monstrous 9.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • J.D. McKissic's pass-game efficiency has diminished this season, notching a measly 5.26 yards-per-target compared to a 7.07 rate last season.
  • J.D. McKissic's ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this year, compiling a mere 4.79 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 9.53 figure last year.
  • The Tennessee Titans defense has surrendered the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 24.0) to RBs this year.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has been quite strong when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.50 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the NFL.

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