J.D. McKissic Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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J.D. McKissic

NFL · Player Props

J.D. McKissic

RB · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

J.D. McKissic Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 26.71 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.

Favors Under

J.D. McKissic's receiving effectiveness has diminished this year, accumulating just 5.59 yards-per-target compared to a 7.07 figure last year.
J.D. McKissic's talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this season, notching just 4.31 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 9.53 figure last season.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has surrendered the 6th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 30.0) vs. running backs since the start of last season.
The Dallas Cowboys safeties profile as the 8th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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