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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Giants

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 51.0% of their chances: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.

The Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.7 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Jaylen Warren to be a more integral piece of his team's run game this week (29.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (17.0% in games he has played).

The Giants defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 5.78 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Jaylen Warren has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (21.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).

Jaylen Warren's ground efficiency has worsened this season, notching a measly 3.22 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.73 mark last season.

Jaylen Warren has been worse at generating extra running yardage this season, accumulating 2.18 yards-after-contact compared to a 3.68 rate last season.

More Jaylen Warren Player Props

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