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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 48.8% of their plays: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects Jaylen Warren to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (25.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (14.8% in games he has played).

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, New York's unit has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 126.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop.

Jaylen Warren's 14.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year conveys a material drop-off in his rushing talent over last year's 42.0 rate.

Jaylen Warren's 2.8 adjusted yards per carry this year conveys a meaningful regression in his running skills over last year's 4.7 mark.

Jaylen Warren has been less successful in generating extra rushing yardage this year, totaling 2.14 yards-after-contact vs a 3.68 mark last year.

More Jaylen Warren Player Props

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