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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-141/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Jaylen Warren's running efficiency (4.65 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (80th percentile when it comes to RBs).

With a remarkable record of 3.64 yards after contact (96th percentile), Jaylen Warren ranks among the powerful RBs in the NFL since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 56.4 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

While Jaylen Warren has accounted for 29.1% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Pittsburgh's rushing attack this week at 17.6%.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been excellent since the start of last season, profiling as the 4th-best in the league.

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