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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.8% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 134.2 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a massive 59.1 per game on average).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

Jaylen Warren's 30.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects an impressive reduction in his running skills over last year's 42.0 figure.

Jaylen Warren's 3.9 adjusted yards per carry this season reflects a noteable decrease in his rushing talent over last season's 4.8 figure.

This year, the stout Kansas City Chiefs run defense has surrendered a paltry 91.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best in the NFL.

The Kansas City Chiefs safeties profile as the 4th-best group of safeties in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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