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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 44.9% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Steelers.

The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Steelers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Jaylen Warren's 30.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season conveys a material decline in his rushing proficiency over last season's 42.0 figure.

Jaylen Warren's rushing efficiency has diminished this year, compiling a measly 3.94 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.75 mark last year.

This year, the stout Baltimore Ravens run defense has yielded a feeble 81.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the best in football.

The Baltimore defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best group of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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