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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Steelers as the 8th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 45.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The Philadelphia Eagles safeties project as the 30th-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Steelers, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Jaylen Warren has rushed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (32.0) this season than he did last season (42.0).

Jaylen Warren's 4.0 adjusted yards per carry this season reflects a noteworthy decline in his rushing ability over last season's 4.8 mark.

This year, the stout Eagles run defense has conceded a puny 104.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 7th-fewest in the league.

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