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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The projections expect the Steelers as the most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 55.9% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being projected in this game) typically cause worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher rush volume.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Warren has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (31.0) this year than he did last year (42.0).

Jaylen Warren's 3.9 adjusted yards per carry this season reflects a substantial decline in his running ability over last season's 4.7 mark.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's LB corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the best in football.

More Jaylen Warren Player Props

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