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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 47.9% of their chances: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.61 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.
  • After taking on 31.8% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Jaylen Warren has been less involved in the running game this season, currently accounting for just 21.8%.
  • Jaylen Warren has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (30.0) this season than he did last season (42.0).
  • Jaylen Warren's running effectiveness has tailed off this year, totaling a mere 3.83 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.74 figure last year.
  • This year, the tough Baltimore Ravens run defense has yielded a puny 72.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the best in football.

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