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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to run on 47.2% of their plays: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the projection model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-most among all teams this week.
  • With an impressive rate of 4.70 adjusted yards per carry (78th percentile), Jaylen Warren rates as one of the top pure runners in the league last year.
  • Jaylen Warren rates as one of the top RBs in the NFL at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging an impressive 3.68 yards-after-contact last year while ranking in the 98th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football last year, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Atlanta's group of DTs has been outstanding last year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

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