Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jaylen Warren

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Warren

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by the model to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
After accounting for 16.3% of his offense's carries last year, Jaylen Warren has played a bigger part in the running game this year, now sitting at 28.4%.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football last year in run support.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has had the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up 4.48 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 9th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (only 54.6 per game on average).
Jaylen Warren's 3.1 adjusted yards per carry this season signifies a an impressive diminishment in his running skills over last season's 4.8 rate.
The Rams defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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