Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jaylen Warren

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Warren

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 19, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jaylen Warren to be much more involved in his offense's running game this week (29.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (16.6% in games he has played).
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season in run blocking.
The Cleveland Browns defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, surrendering 5.02 yards-per-carry.
The Cleveland Browns linebackers project as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 42.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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