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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 7th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 36.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defense has produced the 10th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 4.45 yards-per-carry.

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