Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jaylen Warren

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Warren

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 7th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 36.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has produced the 10th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 4.45 yards-per-carry.

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