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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Jaylen Warren Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

In this contest, Jaylen Warren is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 83rd percentile among RBs with 3.4 targets.

With an exceptional 14.6% Target Rate (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaylen Warren ranks as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in football.

With an excellent 3.3 adjusted catches per game (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaylen Warren has been among the best pass-catching running backs in football.

Jaylen Warren checks in as one of the best possession receivers in football among running backs, completing an exceptional 85.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 47.7% of their downs: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The model projects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 56.4 plays per game.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.

The Chargers safeties grade out as the 4th-best group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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