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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.6 plays per game.

The model projects Jaylen Warren to accrue 3.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Jaylen Warren's 16.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in football: 81st percentile for running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 51.6% of their chances: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The Steelers O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

Jaylen Warren's 2.4 adjusted catches per game this season conveys a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 3.6 mark.

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