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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

The Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.6 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.7 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

Jaylen Warren has been a much smaller part of his offense's passing offense this season (9.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (15.0%).

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

Jaylen Warren's receiving skills have diminished this year, compiling a measly 2.0 adjusted receptions vs 3.6 last year.

More Jaylen Warren Player Props

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