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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Rams vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by the model to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast Jaylen Warren to notch 5.3 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Jaylen Warren has been a more integral piece of his team's air attack this year (15.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (6.3%).

Jaylen Warren's receiving talent has gotten better this season, compiling 4.1 adjusted catches compared to a measly 1.8 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (only 54.6 per game on average).

The Steelers O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Rams pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.6%) to running backs since the start of last season (78.6%).

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