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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Giants

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.7 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The model projects Jaylen Warren to total 2.8 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 75th percentile among RBs.

Jaylen Warren's 91.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a substantial gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 85.0% mark.

This year, the shaky Giants defense has been gouged for a whopping 40.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 4th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Steelers to pass on 49.0% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

Jaylen Warren has been a much smaller part of his team's passing attack this season (9.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (15.0%).

More Jaylen Warren Player Props

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