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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop.

With a remarkable 13.9% Target% (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaylen Warren has been among the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the league.

Jaylen Warren's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 85.0% to 100.0%.

This year, the porous New York Jets pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 90.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 7th-biggest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 126.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.

When it comes to air yards, Jaylen Warren ranks in the paltry 25th percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -3.0 per game.

Jaylen Warren's 10.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year marks a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 22.0 figure.

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