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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.54 seconds per snap.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jaylen Warren to garner 3.2 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Jaylen Warren has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 14.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Jaylen Warren is positioned as one of the top pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 22.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.
  • With a remarkable 85.4% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaylen Warren rates as one of the best possession receivers in football when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Jaylen Warren has compiled a meager -7.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 3rd percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Pittsburgh O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • The Broncos pass defense has been quite strong when opposing RBs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.42 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the 9th-fewest in the league.

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