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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

In this game, Jaylen Warren is projected by the predictive model to rank in the 86th percentile among running backs with 3.6 targets.

Jaylen Warren has accrued a whopping 1.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs average negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).

Jaylen Warren rates in the 84th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) with an astounding 16.3 mark this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) usually cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

This year, the imposing Browns defense has surrendered a paltry 23.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

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