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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.

With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.61 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time.

Opposing offenses have averaged 41.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the NFL.

Jaylen Warren has compiled quite a few more air yards this year (2.0 per game) than he did last year (-8.0 per game).

Jaylen Warren's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 85.0% to 88.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Jaylen Warren's 9.4% Target Rate this season reflects a substantial reduction in his pass game workload over last season's 15.0% figure.

The Steelers offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Jaylen Warren's 13.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year illustrates a material decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 22.0 rate.

Jaylen Warren's 6.86 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a material decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 7.9% rate.

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