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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.6 plays per game.
  • After accruing -8.0 air yards per game last year, Jaylen Warren has made big progress this year, now sitting at 2.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.7 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • Jaylen Warren has been a much smaller part of his offense's passing offense this season (9.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (15.0%).
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Jaylen Warren's 11.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season represents a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 22.0 figure.

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