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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
  • In this week's game, Jaylen Warren is projected by the projections to find himself in the 89th percentile among RBs with 4.1 targets.
  • Jaylen Warren has been a more integral piece of his team's passing offense this season (14.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (6.3%).
  • Jaylen Warren has accumulated a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this season than he did last season (14.0).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals safeties profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Jaylen Warren has notched a mere -7.0 air yards per game this year: just 4th percentile among running backs.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
  • Jaylen Warren's 82.8% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 88.1% mark.
  • Jaylen Warren's receiving efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling just 5.68 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 6.99 figure last year.

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