Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Jaylen Warren

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Warren

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
Jaylen Warren has been among the most reliable receivers in football among RBs, completing a terrific 88.1% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile.
Jaylen Warren has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL among running backs, averaging a terrific 6.99 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Jaylen Warren has totaled a mere -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 9th percentile among running backs.
Jaylen Warren has been among the weakest RBs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 3rd percentile.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (72.7%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (72.7%).
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. RBs since the start of last season, allowing 4.28 yards-per-target to the position: the least in the NFL.

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