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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a heavy 11.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. running backs this year, surrendering 4.89 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in the league.

The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has given their QB just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 7th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have utilized play action on a mere 18.5% of their passing plays since the start of last season (3rd-least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have elected to go for it on 4th down just 14.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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