Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jaylen Warren

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Warren

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
The Cincinnati Bengals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.58 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (70%) versus RBs this year (70.0%).
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. running backs this year, conceding 4.76 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in the NFL.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has excelled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.69 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in the league.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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