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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Carries
Player Prop Week 19

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 6th-most run-focused team in the league (42.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.

While Jaylen Warren has earned 25.6% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Pittsburgh's rushing attack this week at 37.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Baltimore's collection of DTs has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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