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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Steelers as the 8th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 45.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The Philadelphia Eagles safeties project as the 30th-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Steelers, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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