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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-146/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 2nd-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 49.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.6 plays per game.
  • The Commanders defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-worst group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaylen Warren has been a much smaller piece of his team's running game this season (19.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (31.8%).

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