Jaylen Warren Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jaylen Warren

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Warren

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 9:16 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Warren Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-148/+112).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylen Warren has been a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this year (32.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (16.3%).
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.
The Indianapolis Colts safeties rank as the 30th-worst collection of safeties in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

Right now, the 10th-most sluggish paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Steelers.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

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