Jaylen Warren Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jaylen Warren

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Warren

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaylen Warren Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
Jaylen Warren has been a more important option in his team's ground game this season (31.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (16.3%).
When it comes to run-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the Steelers profiles as the 10th-best in football last year.

Favors Under

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
The Browns defensive tackles grade out as the 8th-best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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