Jaylen Warren Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jaylen Warren

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Warren

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaylen Warren Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Steelers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
After comprising 16.3% of his team's rush attempts last year, Jaylen Warren has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this year, now comprising 29.3%.
When it comes to blocking for ball-carriers (and the effect it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 10th-best in the league last year.
The Green Bay defensive ends project as the 8th-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a measly 54.5 per game on average).
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.

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