My Account Log Out

reorder

Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

In this week's game, Jaylen Waddle is expected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 76th percentile among wide receivers with 6.8 targets.

Jaylen Waddle's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 68.2% to 74.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Jaylen Waddle's 41.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 55.9.

Jaylen Waddle's receiving performance has worsened this season, compiling just 4.1 adjusted receptions compared to 5.1 last season.

This year, the tough Texans defense has yielded a paltry 58.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the best rate in the NFL.

The Houston cornerbacks project as the 8th-best CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Jaylen Waddle Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™