Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.
Jaylen Waddle's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 68.2% to 74.4%.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
A running game script is implied by the Dolphins being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.
The Dolphins rank as the 9th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.
Jaylen Waddle has been a less important option in his team's passing offense this year (15.7% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (23.3%).