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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins as the 9th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dolphins have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.8 plays per game.

Jaylen Waddle's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 68.2% to 72.2%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Waddle has been much less involved in his team's passing game this season (16.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (23.3%).

Jaylen Waddle's 3.7 adjusted receptions per game this season shows a significant decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 5.1 figure.

The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

More Jaylen Waddle Player Props

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