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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-139/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
  • The projections expect Jaylen Waddle to accumulate 7.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Jaylen Waddle has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 21.8% this year, which places him in the 79th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Jaylen Waddle ranks as one of the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an excellent 5.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.
  • Jaylen Waddle's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 65.0% to 73.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • At the moment, the 9th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

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