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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs Arizona Cardinals

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (a massive 63.0 per game on average).

In this week's game, Jaylen Waddle is forecasted by the model to land in the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.6 targets.

Jaylen Waddle's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 68.2% to 71.5%.

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (73%) to wide receivers this year (73.0%).

This year, the shaky Cardinals defense has yielded the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a staggering 9.12 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a 5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 126.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Arizona Cardinals, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.7 per game) this year.

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