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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Dolphins may pass less in this week's game (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Tyler Huntley.

The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The model projects Jaylen Waddle to be a more important option in his team's pass attack in this week's game (21.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (16.3% in games he has played).

Jaylen Waddle's 84.6% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a material progression in his pass-catching talent over last season's 68.2% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 52.2% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

After accruing 77.0 air yards per game last year, Jaylen Waddle has produced significantly fewer this year, currently boasting 36.0 per game.

The Miami O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

More Jaylen Waddle Player Props

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