My Account Log Out
 
 
Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 62.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • Miami's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially decreased (and running stats too high) as a result of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some regression with better weather this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • In this week's contest, Jaylen Waddle is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.7 targets.
  • With a top-tier 21.1% Target% (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaylen Waddle ranks as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Miami Dolphins since the start of last season (a lowly 55.7 per game on average).
  • The Buffalo Bills pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.24 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the fewest in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™