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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-134/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 57.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

In this week's game, Jaylen Waddle is expected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 76th percentile among wide receivers with 6.8 targets.

Jaylen Waddle's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 68.2% to 74.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Jaylen Waddle has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (52.0 per game) than he did last season (77.0 per game).

Jaylen Waddle's 41.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 55.9.

Jaylen Waddle's 54.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year reflects a remarkable regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 74.0 mark.

Jaylen Waddle's ability to generate extra yardage has declined this season, accumulating a mere 4.09 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.71 rate last season.

More Jaylen Waddle Player Props

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