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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.
  • Jaylen Waddle's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 68.2% to 74.4%.
  • With an impressive 9.8 adjusted yards per target (83rd percentile) this year, Jaylen Waddle ranks as one of the leading WRs in the NFL in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Dolphins being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The Dolphins rank as the 9th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.
  • Jaylen Waddle has been a less important option in his team's passing offense this year (15.7% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (23.3%).

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