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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins as the 9th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dolphins have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.8 plays per game.

Jaylen Waddle's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 68.2% to 72.2%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Waddle has been much less involved in his team's passing game this season (16.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (23.3%).

After accumulating 77.0 air yards per game last season, Jaylen Waddle has seen a big downtick this season, currently averaging 48.0 per game.

Jaylen Waddle has accrued a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (48.0) this season than he did last season (74.0).

Jaylen Waddle's ability to generate extra yardage has tailed off this season, accumulating just 4.44 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.71 rate last season.

This year, the formidable Packers defense has conceded a feeble 124.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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